Horizon Hour

Aurora forecast for Vancouver, British Columbia

Thursday, October 29, 2026 · Northern Lights · local time

Kp now0.7estimated, 5:00 PM – 8:00 PM
Kp needed here4on the horizon · Kp 6 overhead
Aurora chance now…NOAA OVATION model
Geomagnetic latitude54.0°north

Aurora is unlikely tonight. The highest Kp forecast during dark hours is 0.7; Vancouver needs about Kp 4 to see it on the northern horizon.

Cloud cover tonight

Loading the latest forecast…

3-day Kp forecast

Local timeKpSkyIn Vancouver
Thursday, Oct 29
5:00 PM – 8:00 PM0.7 estimatedDaylight / twilightToo bright
8:00 PM – 11:00 PM0.7 estimatedDarkUnlikely
11:00 PM – 2:00 AM0.7 estimatedDarkUnlikely
Friday, Oct 30
2:00 AM – 5:00 AM0.3 estimatedDarkUnlikely
5:00 AM – 8:00 AM0.3 estimatedDarkUnlikely
8:00 AM – 11:00 AM0.7 estimatedDaylight / twilightToo bright
11:00 AM – 2:00 PM1.7 estimatedDaylight / twilightToo bright
2:00 PM – 5:00 PM1.7 estimatedDaylight / twilightToo bright
5:00 PM – 8:00 PM5.0 G1Daylight / twilightToo bright
8:00 PM – 11:00 PM4.7DarkPossible, low on the horizon
11:00 PM – 2:00 AM4.3DarkPossible, low on the horizon
Saturday, Oct 31
2:00 AM – 5:00 AM4.0DarkPossible, low on the horizon
5:00 AM – 8:00 AM3.0DarkCamera only, maybe
8:00 AM – 11:00 AM3.0Daylight / twilightToo bright
11:00 AM – 2:00 PM3.7Daylight / twilightToo bright
2:00 PM – 5:00 PM4.0Daylight / twilightToo bright
5:00 PM – 8:00 PM3.7Daylight / twilightToo bright
8:00 PM – 11:00 PM4.7DarkPossible, low on the horizon
11:00 PM – 2:00 AM3.3DarkCamera only, maybe
Sunday, Nov 1
2:00 AM – 5:00 AM2.7DarkUnlikely
5:00 AM – 8:00 AM2.3DarkUnlikely
8:00 AM – 11:00 AM3.3Daylight / twilightToo bright
11:00 AM – 2:00 PM3.7Daylight / twilightToo bright
2:00 PM – 5:00 PM3.3Daylight / twilightToo bright
5:00 PM – 8:00 PM2.7Daylight / twilightToo bright

Kp is a 0–9 measure of geomagnetic activity in 3-hour blocks; G1–G5 are NOAA's storm levels (Kp 5–9). Forecast from the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, updated several times a day.

27-day outlook

Days when NOAA's 27-day outlook expects a Kp of at least 4: Sat, Oct 31 (Kp 5), Sun, Nov 1 (Kp 4), Mon, Nov 9 (Kp 4), Tue, Nov 17 (Kp 4), Wed, Nov 18 (Kp 4).

Thu, Oct 29Sat, Nov 21

The outlook is based on the Sun's 27-day rotation: active regions and coronal holes that faced Earth last rotation are expected back. It is a rough guide, and big storms usually come with only 1–3 days' warning.

Right now

Loading NOAA's 30-minute aurora forecast…

NOAA's OVATION model estimates the chance of seeing aurora overhead at each point for the next 30–90 minutes. Aurora seen low on the horizon can come from up to about 1,000 km closer to the pole, so we also show the highest chance in that direction.

How to see the aurora from Vancouver

“Kp needed” uses NOAA's rule of thumb in corrected geomagnetic latitude (AACGM-v2 model, epoch 2026). It is approximate: the oval's shape changes from storm to storm.