Horizon Hour

Aurora forecast for Montréal, Quebec

Thursday, October 29, 2026 · Northern Lights · local time

Kp now0.7estimated, 8:00 PM – 11:00 PM
Kp needed here5on the horizon · Kp 7 overhead
Aurora chance now…NOAA OVATION model
Geomagnetic latitude53.2°north

Aurora is unlikely tonight. The highest Kp forecast during dark hours is 0.7; Montréal needs about Kp 5 to see it on the northern horizon.

Cloud cover tonight

Loading the latest forecast…

3-day Kp forecast

Local timeKpSkyIn Montréal
Thursday, Oct 29
8:00 PM – 11:00 PM0.7 estimatedDarkUnlikely
11:00 PM – 2:00 AM0.7 estimatedDarkUnlikely
Friday, Oct 30
2:00 AM – 5:00 AM0.7 estimatedDarkUnlikely
5:00 AM – 8:00 AM0.3 estimatedDaylight / twilightToo bright
8:00 AM – 11:00 AM0.3 estimatedDaylight / twilightToo bright
11:00 AM – 2:00 PM0.7 estimatedDaylight / twilightToo bright
2:00 PM – 5:00 PM1.7 estimatedDaylight / twilightToo bright
5:00 PM – 8:00 PM1.7 estimatedDaylight / twilightToo bright
8:00 PM – 11:00 PM5.0 G1DarkPossible, low on the horizon
11:00 PM – 2:00 AM4.7DarkCamera only, maybe
Saturday, Oct 31
2:00 AM – 5:00 AM4.3DarkCamera only, maybe
5:00 AM – 8:00 AM4.0Daylight / twilightToo bright
8:00 AM – 11:00 AM3.0Daylight / twilightToo bright
11:00 AM – 2:00 PM3.0Daylight / twilightToo bright
2:00 PM – 5:00 PM3.7Daylight / twilightToo bright
5:00 PM – 8:00 PM4.0Daylight / twilightToo bright
8:00 PM – 11:00 PM3.7DarkUnlikely
11:00 PM – 1:00 AM4.7DarkCamera only, maybe
Sunday, Nov 1
1:00 AM – 4:00 AM3.3DarkUnlikely
4:00 AM – 7:00 AM2.7Daylight / twilightToo bright
7:00 AM – 10:00 AM2.3Daylight / twilightToo bright
10:00 AM – 1:00 PM3.3Daylight / twilightToo bright
1:00 PM – 4:00 PM3.7Daylight / twilightToo bright
4:00 PM – 7:00 PM3.3Daylight / twilightToo bright
7:00 PM – 10:00 PM2.7DarkUnlikely

Kp is a 0–9 measure of geomagnetic activity in 3-hour blocks; G1–G5 are NOAA's storm levels (Kp 5–9). Forecast from the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, updated several times a day.

27-day outlook

Days when NOAA's 27-day outlook expects a Kp of at least 5: Sat, Oct 31 (Kp 5).

Thu, Oct 29Sat, Nov 21

The outlook is based on the Sun's 27-day rotation: active regions and coronal holes that faced Earth last rotation are expected back. It is a rough guide, and big storms usually come with only 1–3 days' warning.

Right now

Loading NOAA's 30-minute aurora forecast…

NOAA's OVATION model estimates the chance of seeing aurora overhead at each point for the next 30–90 minutes. Aurora seen low on the horizon can come from up to about 1,000 km closer to the pole, so we also show the highest chance in that direction.

How to see the aurora from Montréal

“Kp needed” uses NOAA's rule of thumb in corrected geomagnetic latitude (AACGM-v2 model, epoch 2026). It is approximate: the oval's shape changes from storm to storm.