Horizon Hour

Aurora forecast for Calgary, Alberta

Thursday, October 29, 2026 · Northern Lights · local time

Kp now0.7estimated, 6:00 PM – 9:00 PM
Kp needed here3on the horizon · Kp 5 overhead
Aurora chance now…NOAA OVATION model
Geomagnetic latitude57.4°north

Aurora is unlikely tonight. The highest Kp forecast during dark hours is 0.7; Calgary needs about Kp 3 to see it on the northern horizon.

Cloud cover tonight

Loading the latest forecast…

3-day Kp forecast

Local timeKpSkyIn Calgary
Thursday, Oct 29
6:00 PM – 9:00 PM0.7 estimatedDarkUnlikely
9:00 PM – 12:00 AM0.7 estimatedDarkUnlikely
Friday, Oct 30
12:00 AM – 3:00 AM0.7 estimatedDarkUnlikely
3:00 AM – 6:00 AM0.3 estimatedDarkUnlikely
6:00 AM – 9:00 AM0.3 estimatedDaylight / twilightToo bright
9:00 AM – 12:00 PM0.7 estimatedDaylight / twilightToo bright
12:00 PM – 3:00 PM1.7 estimatedDaylight / twilightToo bright
3:00 PM – 6:00 PM1.7 estimatedDaylight / twilightToo bright
6:00 PM – 9:00 PM5.0 G1DarkLikely, possibly overhead
9:00 PM – 12:00 AM4.7DarkPossible, low on the horizon
Saturday, Oct 31
12:00 AM – 3:00 AM4.3DarkPossible, low on the horizon
3:00 AM – 6:00 AM4.0DarkPossible, low on the horizon
6:00 AM – 9:00 AM3.0Daylight / twilightToo bright
9:00 AM – 12:00 PM3.0Daylight / twilightToo bright
12:00 PM – 3:00 PM3.7Daylight / twilightToo bright
3:00 PM – 6:00 PM4.0Daylight / twilightToo bright
6:00 PM – 9:00 PM3.7DarkPossible, low on the horizon
9:00 PM – 12:00 AM4.7DarkPossible, low on the horizon
Sunday, Nov 1
12:00 AM – 3:00 AM3.3DarkPossible, low on the horizon
3:00 AM – 6:00 AM2.7DarkCamera only, maybe
6:00 AM – 9:00 AM2.3Daylight / twilightToo bright
9:00 AM – 12:00 PM3.3Daylight / twilightToo bright
12:00 PM – 3:00 PM3.7Daylight / twilightToo bright
3:00 PM – 6:00 PM3.3Daylight / twilightToo bright
6:00 PM – 9:00 PM2.7DarkCamera only, maybe

Kp is a 0–9 measure of geomagnetic activity in 3-hour blocks; G1–G5 are NOAA's storm levels (Kp 5–9). Forecast from the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, updated several times a day.

27-day outlook

Days when NOAA's 27-day outlook expects a Kp of at least 3: Sat, Oct 31 (Kp 5), Sun, Nov 1 (Kp 4), Mon, Nov 2 (Kp 3), Thu, Nov 5 (Kp 3), Fri, Nov 6 (Kp 3), Sat, Nov 7 (Kp 3), Mon, Nov 9 (Kp 4), Tue, Nov 10 (Kp 3), Wed, Nov 11 (Kp 3), Thu, Nov 12 (Kp 3), Mon, Nov 16 (Kp 3), Tue, Nov 17 (Kp 4), Wed, Nov 18 (Kp 4), Thu, Nov 19 (Kp 3).

Thu, Oct 29Sat, Nov 21

The outlook is based on the Sun's 27-day rotation: active regions and coronal holes that faced Earth last rotation are expected back. It is a rough guide, and big storms usually come with only 1–3 days' warning.

Right now

Loading NOAA's 30-minute aurora forecast…

NOAA's OVATION model estimates the chance of seeing aurora overhead at each point for the next 30–90 minutes. Aurora seen low on the horizon can come from up to about 1,000 km closer to the pole, so we also show the highest chance in that direction.

How to see the aurora from Calgary

“Kp needed” uses NOAA's rule of thumb in corrected geomagnetic latitude (AACGM-v2 model, epoch 2026). It is approximate: the oval's shape changes from storm to storm.